pirates' top prospects fangraphs11 Mar pirates' top prospects fangraphs
He maintained his patient approach in Altoona, and when the Double-A season ended, he was sent up to Indianapolis for the last five games of the Triple-A season. It can be found here. From a heuristics standpoint, you cant do much better than Rodriguezs profile. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. Hes been a fast-mover thus far and looks likely to continue that pattern, with a chance to show up on the big-league roster later this season, though a 2024 big league debut is more likely. 76. He was passed over in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft despite his stuff quality because hes so raw as a strike-thrower. He has a short arm action, which aids in his command, though refining his location will likely be the order of the day upon his return from injury as he continues to work out of the Pirates pen. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListControls(); in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft. For the second straight year, he allowed a high rate of home runs, which inflated his ERA. Harry Ford is one of the top prospects in the Seattle Mariners organization, and he is also unique among his peers. This was a four-year rookie-level player who had suddenly been added to the Royals 40-man roster after the 2021 season even though he had all of 32 innings above Low-A. In most cases, corner-only outfielders who play consistent big league roles have better actualized their raw power in games. While hes played a bunch of shortstop, he is much more likely to wind up on the edge of 3B/1B than he is to see middle infield time at maturity. He commands it consistently enough to his glove side to project as a starter. Davis skills and offensive style are tailored like those of Evan Gattis. Whether his ability to go get it in center field bounces back is the X-factor that will determine his ability to play a long-term big league role. Johnson often ends his swing with his torso having made a full 180 degree rotation, sometimes swinging with such ferocious bat speed that he loses his balance and faceplants in the batters box. In some respects, its easy to assess DSL players. On Friday, FanGraphs released updated rankings. We added RosterResource's Depth Charts; these reflect a team's current. That makes changeup development, or anything that might help him deal with righties, important, and indeed thats already underway Solometo has begun to more heavily incorporate a mid-80s changeup into his pitch mix. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. That makes it seem all but inevitable that Chandler will eventually ditch the bat to optimize his development on the mound. 4/5 on a contender. A second base-only defensive fit puts the onus on Pegueros bat to perform at an everyday level. His acrobatics and creativity at third base make him a plus defender there. Even though hes so young, youre not really projecting on his frame in a positive way so much as it feels possible Kennedy could have impact command at maturity, because his delivery is so effortless and the quality of his fastball strikes so advanced. He has now struck out nearly 30% of the time during each of the last two seasons, but hes still performed comfortably above the league average at each stop because of the quality of the contact he does make. Across his 94.1 innings, he racked up 111 strikeouts against just 31 walks, with a 1.21 WHIP. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. You can really see his athleticism and remarkable hip/shoulder separation on his throws down to second. Because theyre about the same age as high school draft prospects, apples-to-apples projection and tools comparisons are feasible, which then allows you to triangulate where theyd be selected in a draft based on those comparisons and get a sense of how to FV them. JP Massey, RHP Terrero is a compact outfielder with a well-rounded skill set and strong rookie-level line. Shim is a big, physically mature righty with huge present arm strength, creeping into the upper 90s. Pegueros lack of throwing accuracy from shortstop is concerning. Scouting. Jose Tabata / OF. Across the 2022 calendar, Davis had nearly as many HBPs as he did extra-base hits, to which the wrist fracture likely contributed. If you split his season exactly in half, the improvement is obvious. He has basically been the same guy since he entered pro ball, sitting 94-95 with ineffectual shape and a pretty good slider. Either way, he played over half the season in the outfield and was roughly average, which is much better than I would have expected after the reporting on him previously called him a positionless defender. Gutierrez has soft, quiet hands, he doesnt tip pitch type or location with runners on base, and he will drop to one knee when he receives some pitches as a means of framing them. Whats more, theres a chance Triolo hits enough to simply be an everyday option at second (or if he turns out to be okay in center). Theyve tripled since his claim-staking 2019 DSL season and Nolsaco Kd at a whopping 34% rate in the 2022 Florida State League. His swing may look different in 2023 and prompt a re-evaluation. He sits in the upper 80s right now but has promising underlying traits and plenty of time to develop. He showed a velo spike (92-96) at the onset of the 2022 college season before his arm strength and command regressed. Andres Silvera, RHP. Pittsburgh Pirates Top 10 Prospects Updated by Marc Hulet September 10, 2018 The Pirates system doesn't have immense depth or a long line of high-impact players but the big league club could. Hunter Stratton, RHP They have Hunter. Ricky Tiedemann is one of the fastest-rising pitching prospects in the game. Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Reports, tool grades, . Meanwhile, Chandlers post-promotion production at the plate plummeted to a sub-.200 batting average and an OPS of just .574, thanks largely to a strikeout rate just barely south of 40%; he launched just a single dinger in his 32 Low-A games compared to three in his 14 games on the complex. Uribe, 20, is a projectable lefty with a 92-93 mph fastball and high-spin breaking ball. Looking forward to fangraphs being wrong Campman92 5 min. His slot also helps generate two-plane sweep on his breaking ball. That fact isn't apparent on his Baseball-Reference or FanGraphs pages, but for about 48 hours, Maggi, who homered to break up the Yankees' shutout bid in the ninth inning of the Pirates' 9-1 split-squad loss on Thursday, enjoyed life in the Majors. The top 38 spots on the list are all 55 FV or higher. Drafted as a shortstop, he fell down the defensive spectrum pretty quickly but without finding a way to lift the ball and hit for power in games. He entered the 2022 spring as a high-probability 40 FV prospect who some scouts thought belonged in the 40+ tier because of pitching approach changes Barco could make in pro ball that might enable a breakout, but he ended up blowing out his UCL and having Tommy John in May. It should be noted that DeVitos development has been plagued by stops and starts caused first by the pandemic and then by an ulnar nerve issue that shortened his 2021 season. Be warned that he may hit for huge power at Greensboro in 2023, but the key thing to watch is his strikeout rate. Matt Fraizer, CF From 2017-21, Webbs strikeout rate more than doubled as a result of his uptick in arm strength. He spent more of his big league time in the outfield than at his native second base. He would slot among Priester and Ortiz on this list had he completed a totally healthy 2022. Johnsons swing bears some mechanical resemblance to Bryce Harpers, especially its lower half usage and finish. Hes been up to 100 mph, sits 96, and has solid glove-side command of a mid-80s slider. While he was already throwing quite hard, Ortiz came into even more velocity in 2022 and averaged 97 mph on his fastball, up two ticks from 2021. The barrel-chested Smith-Njigba has huge strength-driven power and a patient approach that borders on passive. For instance, hes struggled badly on defense, wracking up 46 errors combined the last two seasons. 2023 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. These rankings are now available on The Board on the 2023 Fantasy Rankings tab, where you can also see the Top 120 Dynasty Rankings!. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 24, 2021 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Spotty command and limited fastball utility push Mlodzinski into a multi-inning relief role. When healthy, he was a hard-throwing 40 FV reliever. Robert_roberts82 1 min. (2/2/2021) His fastball remains in the mid-90s but continues to underperform in terms of its bat-missing ability due to its hittable line. His footwork on throws to second is clunky and variable, which often impacts his throw times and accuracy, but the pure arm strength is in there. He also threw a smattering of changeups in 2022, though it amounted to fewer than a dozen across his 50.2 innings of work at Double-A, and the changeup didnt show up at all when the Bahamian took the mound for Great Britains WBC squad. From the left side of the plate, Rodriguez has an exceptional ability to rip his hands through pitches on the inner edge of the zone. An extreme groundball pitcher in a small sample, he allowed just two home runs in 35.2 innings of work in 2022. His slow, mid-70s curveball is easy to identify out of his hand, but it has lovely shape and depth of break, so perhaps it can be sculpted into a more traditional big league breaking ball. A draft-eligible sophomore in 2022, Harrington is an athletic, pitchability righty with a tailing low-90s fastball and a power-sink changeup in the mid-80s. Indeed, of his offerings, only his four-seamer had a whiff rate above the big league average, and he struggled to keep that pitch competitive, only throwing it for a strike 57% of the time. His carrying tool is still his defense, especially his receiving, which is crafty and advanced. His feel for throwing strikes would come and go, and hes only 6-feet-1, a little smaller than the prep pitching prototypes who you often see getting $2 million or more in the draft. It felt like the Pirates were slow-playing him a little too much after the pandemic (Nolasco was easily physical enough to go to Low-A in 2021), but perhaps they simply knew he wasnt ready to parse full-season pitching. His two-plane slider has nasty, late break and his changeup might have late projection because his arm action is so clean and loose. Still, the teenage pitcher demo is bust-prone and, anecdotally, this seems especially true when the prospect in question already throws really hard at age 17 or 18. His swing is quite uphill from the left side and he can tend to swing underneath fastballs up and away from him, but overall he is very difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone despite his steep-launch style of contact. We considered Glenn a high priority senior sign in the 2021 draft, but he needed to hit all the way up the minor league ladder and didnt do that in 2022. If he moves to first base, this will become especially scary. Thats a very walkable path. He also has a promising sweeper slider, but he lacks typical physical projection for a teenage pitcher. When Smith-Njigba takes a comfortable, max-effort hack, its obvious that he has big power, and his exit velo data reinforces the visual evaluation. LSU played . Back with former Astros pitching coach Brent Strom in Arizona . . Injured Arms We. Its possible Flowers strike-throwing consistency will make a big league manager feel secure going to him with consistency in the middle innings, but on stuff he projects more as a near-ready up/down reliever. Hard-Throwers 11/ . FanGraphs Prospects. The pitch has natural tailing action, but Ortiz can also blow it past hitters at the letters when he wants, and his TrackMan data shows hes mixing in four- and two-seamers in the locations where theyre most effective. Top Prospects Team Lists 2022 2021 AL NL Pirates Top Prospects Reading Options Detail Level Data Only Full Position Filter All 60 FV Prospects 1. While he hasnt continued producing the mid-to-upper-90s velocity he did during college relief outings, Nicolas still sits a respectable 92-95 mph and leans on his two above-average breaking balls, a low-80s curveball and a mid-80s slider. 4/5 starter. After pitching well at the U-18 World Championships and at a Nike showcase in Asia, he signed for about $1.25 million, which is pretty sizable for a late-market signee. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every teams list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. The top six were already know from this list, because Fangraphs had six Pirates in their top 100 prospects. The Pirates got a deal done for a cool million, nearly twice the slot amount in the fourth round. Maggi is, by definition, a Major Leaguer. Hes already taken a sizable step in the breaking ball department in just two pros seasons. He has above-average bat-to-ball skills and very little power. Jackson Glenn, 2B. Connor Scott, RF The timing of his surgery is more detrimental than that of the other college pitchers, as it ups the odds that he wont (or will barely) pitch in 2023. Its unlikely hell make enough of an offensive impact to be a primary catcher, but hes very likely to spend time on big league 40-man rosters as a second or third catcher. His quality of contact is very good when he does make it, and is already on par with the typical starting major league second baseman even though hes barely 22. 2 prospect to Minors camp after injury February 24, 2023 Bucs invite top prospects Davis, Johnson, Priester to camp February 2, 2023 Shim realizes first part of dream as prospect signs with Bucs January 26, 2023 His defensive versatility will allow the Pirates to play in-game matchups that take advantage of Baes speed and ability to put balls in play. His delivery has a relief-only look to it. He spent much of the season leading off for Altoona, where he slashed .282/.376/.419 and stole 24 stolen bases. Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. Obviously the 2021 draft was the big one, and seven players from that class are currently on the list. Given how good he is at third, it seems likely that Triolo will be a good defensive second baseman if given enough time, and hes a fine emergency option at short (Kyle Farmer has played there a ton and Triolo is about that good). Traded from Arizona to Pittsburgh as part of the Starling Marte deal, Peguero had been a top 100 prospect for the last couple of years, tracking like a plus bat middle infielder. Gonzales had a 68% Z-contact% as a 23-year-old at Double-A. Yean, 21, was once a 40+ FV prospect in Washingtons system. A two-way high school player, Jones was clearly a superior prospect as a pitcher, as he was one of the most electric on-mound athletes to roll through the high school ranks over the last decade. Hes on track to debut in 2025 as a starter if those issues improve and as a reliever if they do not. He pairs it with two above-average secondaries: a high-80s slider with sharp, downward movement that garnered a 48% chase rate against righties, and an 11-5 curveball with a shape that mimics the slider, only slower and looser, which helps keep batters off balance and enables him to pitch backwards. His swing decisions and ability to make contact out front and tap into his latent power improved throughout the season. He pitched five innings of relief over two games in early May for the Pirates without allowing a run. Cy Nielson, LHP These rankings include six Pittsburgh Pirates prospects cracking the FanGraph top 100. Thats hard enough to do for any batter, let alone one whose schedule also includes the grueling demands of pitching development. In his time at Bradenton, Chandler struck out 33 batters over 26 innings, and while his walk rate was an unacceptably high 15.8%, thats actually down a notch from what he was allowing over a larger sample on the complex. He moved into a minor league relief role in 2022. Sanchez runs pretty well. As a wrap-up, the Pirates have. Roelmy Garcia, RHP He has become meaningfully stronger over the last year and has more of a balanced, low-ball swing now, as opposed to the slash-and-dash style of contact in his pro debut. Top 35 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel November 26, 2018 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. ), and some of the recent, perhaps overzealous examples (Maikel Escotto, Rodolfo Nolasco) are in this system. He showed a tendency to expand the zone and make some sub-optimal contact as an amateur and in his 2022 pro sample, but there are times when Johnson does this and rather than frustrate scouts and analysts, he impresses them with his ability to identify and adjust to breaking balls, his barrel feel, and his hand-eye coordination. Oliver Mateo, RHP Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. Hes poised for a big league bullpen role this season and has a repertoire thats deep and nasty enough that he should be considered a late-inning option. His maxed-out frame is cumbersome on the infield, but his footwork at first base has improved a ton since he started playing there, and weve updated our previous DH-only projection. He was throwing as hard as ever when he returned but still got shelled, and was quite wild at Double-A before he was sent to Arizona to audition to keep his 40-man spot with Kansas City. His range and footwork are great, while his actions and arm are fine. He was Rule 5 eligible after the season, and hitters who have performed that well at High-A tend to be added to their clubs 40-man roster, but Lopez doesnt have a crystal clear defensive home and his plate discipline needs a lot of seasoning, so he wasnt a real threat to be taken. Alessandro Ercolani, RHP As FanGraphs sourced TrackMan/Hawkeye data from team personnel after the season, De Los Santos hard hit rate and peak exit velocities stood apart from most of his peers, especially when limiting the sample to the DSLs age-appropriate players. To be fair, he was only about average in terms of OAA. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections Like his other stuff, his feel for location is better than the movement hes creating on the pitch. Chen is a very advanced righty with a deep repertoire led by his plus changeup. Scott, Siani, and Campana all have big physical tools and have all struggled badly from a bat-to-ball standpoint. From that point on, however, Triolo walked more and struck out less, such that both rates sat in the mid-teens, while flipping the slugging switch on to the tune of 13 doubles, five triples, and eight home runs over the course of the same number of games. Hes still on a path toward a glove-reliant bench role but is closer to having meaningful pop than he was last year. His delivery also creates an odd angle on a mid-80s cutter/slider, which Solometo commands to his glove side. He might end up becoming the player the industry hoped Francisco Meja would become. During a full season at Double-A in 2022, he saw time at third base, shortstop, and center field, and in 2023 hell start seeing more time at second base. With Endy Rodriguez around, it may not matter a ton. 1/ . His turn at the 2022 Futures Game gave viewers a glimpse of his heater/curveball combo, showcasing the carry on his mid-90s fastball in contrast to the vertical depth of the high-spin (2,800 rpm) curve. Bolton was able to stay healthy for the entirety of 2022, which was an accomplishment in itself given that his professional career has been plagued by injury since it began. It sounds like Brannigan is going to develop as a two-way player. Pro teams are more open to east/west fastball operation and the Pirates might be able to coax more sweep out of Harringtons slider, though Campbell does a pretty good job developing pitchers, so there may be less developmental meat on the bone here than youd guess considering hes coming from a smaller program. Hes on the 40-man roster and will likely get a chance to sink or swim on the big league roster in 2023. He barely played in 2022 due to hamstring, elbow, and hip flexor injuries that cost him all but a couple of games. Carter Bins, C Melendez (sitting 97) and Mateo (sitting 95) are upper-level relievers with poor control. Flowers velocity has never really popped in a big way despite some of the late projection because of his conversion. Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Mitch Keller, Travis Swaggerty, Tahnaj Thomas and. The husky Nunez swings really hard and generates big peak exit velocities. Stratton, 26, sat 94-96 mph in 2022 and has a plus-flashing slider that he rarely throws for strikes. White was seen early and often as an underclassman since he went to a Philadelphia high school with University of Virginia outfielder Chris Newell, and would frequently match up against the Siani brothers during varsity play. The recent track record of hitters this size isnt favorable, with only Franmil Reyes really panning out, but its exciting to watch Blanco take BP and see how loose and athletic he is for his size. Hes not a great defender right now, and probably wont ever be better than a 40-grade glove, but Davis frames high strikes well and has plus raw arm strength. Counter to our past reports, his swing is rather stiff and some of Lopezs length makes him vulnerable to pitches in on his hands. Swaggerty matched the nine home runs he posted in 2019, but this time, he did so against better pitching, in fewer at-bats, and in a much less hitter-friendly park, and he improved on his walk rate by a couple of ticks. The swing length and approach combination is scary enough to keep Lopez out of the 40+ FV tier even though he has this sort of upside. Might the changeup develop over time into a plus pitch? Opinions around Shim vary because he offers less physical projection than is typical in the international talent space, even for an older pitcher. He hit his stride in mid-August with back-to-back scoreless starts in which his four-seamer averaged over 96 across a combined nine innings a high water mark for the season and a true glimpse of his upside. He has a pronounced bat wrap. He spins the hell out of everything that leaves his hand, in particular his slider, which averaged over 2,700 rpm, but his inability to fine tune his command puts a damper on its utility (his walk rate was an untenable 12.4% across his 75.2 innings of work). Blanco is a gigantic corner outfield/1B prospect who had the most present raw power in the January 2022 international signing class. This FV grade is commensurate with a mid-first round high school infield prospect. As a high schooler, his ultra-low spin splitter seemed like the more promising pitch, but his feel for it has regressed. Hes an arm strength reclamation project with a shot to pitch in Pittsburghs bullpen. Solometos fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range. In August of 2022, Jun-Seok announced he would skip the September KBO draft in order to sign with an MLB club right away. A double-plus hit tool leads the way for Termarr Johnson, a 5'7" 175 lb left-handed hitter who calls Jose Ramirez to mind on a quick visual evaluation. Amid a couple of short IL stints in 2022, Selby put up impressive numbers split between Double- and Triple-A and then looked great in the Arizona Fall League. He has a delivery similar to Ubaldo Jimnezs, where his front side flies way open and he tilts out, which helps Kellington get to a vertical arm slot. Top 42 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 28, 2020 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Some of his early-career success seems to have stemmed from his physical maturity. Big league sliders might force Davis to make an adjustment, but so far his contact performance has been solidly average. Milwaukee Brewers Batting Postseason Stats 2021. His low-80s slider, which has late, two-plane bite, has improved considerably and is now an above-average big league pitch. Hes a young, switch-hitting catcher with cartoonish offensive numbers (especially from a bat-to-ball standpoint) and uncommon defensive versatility, as hes played a bunch of second base and left field as well. The reason why he graded out so positively was due to his arm, gunning down runners like crazy, which was fantastic, and his tool grade for his armwas a 40. Jesus Castillo, SS Defensively, he has mostly played second base so far in his professional career, with just a handful of starts at short. Last year, Fraizers 2021 performance at Greensboro (which included 20 homers) convinced us that he had a chance to be a big deal, but his plate discipline was a big problem against Double-A pitching. Andrew McCutchen / OF 3. So compact and short to the baseball is Rodriguez that he can wait an extra beat to diagnose pitch types, which enables him to make in-flight adjustments to breaking balls, spoil the well-located ones, and crush the hangers.
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